AMLO and Mexico’s Eurasian Energy & Development Tilt

The recent victory of Andrés Manuel López Obrador – or simply, “AMLO” – as the next President of Mexico has raised red flags in certain, mostly Washington Consensus, circles, while triggering praise in others, mostly from Eurasia and left-leaning, independent Latin American nations.  There are a few curious outliers, but for the most part, there is a pall of cautious concern from market fundamentalists afraid that he will turn into another Hugo Chavez or, at best, Brazil’s Lula, overnight.  Yet after bitterly losing two prior runs in 2006 & 2012, this former Mayor of Mexico City is putting forward a pragmatic face while nuancing approaches to leadership.  I.E. Swearing to assist the poor while cleaning up Mexico’s endemic corruption, chronic violence & lack of growth, alongside extending olive branches to the global private sector to get on the AMLO bus.

Why are Russia & China so over the moon with excitement over AMLO’s win?  What have they got up their individual & collective sleeves for engaging this most important Latin American neighbor of Washington’s, with whom the US conducts hundreds of billions of dollars in annual energy trading?  And why is the bizarrely unpredictable Trump Administration wanting a revamp or outright scrubbing out of the quarter-century-old NAFTA agreement, which has benefited America’s economy so well?  For that matter, how genuinely invested in NAFTA will Mexico be under AMLO’s leadership?  Especially with said eastern powers chompin’ at the bit to practically marry Mexico into their growing geostrategic fold?

In this 25th episode of Money & Fear, and as always, in the show’s detailed Show Notes listed under the videos on our website, we’ll explore the nexus points between a Mexico exhausted with decades of corrupted status quo political leadership and an unprecedented Sino-Russian alliance seeking to rewrite the rules of energy pricing, trading, rent recycling & investment away from the 45 year-old Petro-Dollar Standard, established by the very same Washington Consensus which demands predictability out of all of Latin America, just as the late Standard Oil heirs Nelson & David Rockefeller wished it to be.  We’ll touch upon data points, momentum within both eastern & western spheres, and the unique opportunities awaiting a reborn Grand Republic of MéxicoA caballo regalado, no se le ven los dientes. 

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Show Notes

Mexico Elections: 5 Takeaways from López Obrador’s Victory

Failed Mexican presidential candidate sets up protest camp

Lopez Obrador demands recount in Mexican election vote

Mexico's Lopez Obrador leaves coalition to form new movement

RIP PRI: Mexico's ruling party faces record defeat in Presidential Election; corruption, violence and poverty caused lack of trust

Mexico in the Grip of Corruption

Mexican official: CIA 'manages' drug trade

How the US gave guns to Mexican cartels

Andrés Manuel López Obrador Is No Hugo Chávez

Andrés Manuel López Obrador was elected to ‘transform’ Mexico. Can he do it?

Three reasons why it’s time for Mexico to pivot to China

With Election, NAFTA Talks Looming, E&Ps Prepare to Drill Mexico’s First Deepwater Contracts

Targeted by Trump, Mexico Courts China, Russia

U.S. energy trade with Mexico: U.S. export value more than twice import value in 2016

Is Mexico Turning to China in Lieu of the United States?

Mexican president congratulates Putin on election win

Peña Nieto, Putin discuss opportunities

Putin Meeting with President of Mexico Enrique Pena Nieto

If Trump dumps NAFTA, China and Russia could better compete for Mexico's energy

What's Putin's Game in the Western Hemisphere?

Russia: Playing a Geopolitical Game in Latin America

China oil futures launch may threaten primacy of U.S. dollar: UBS

List of countries by oil production

List of countries by proven oil reserves

Mexico’s maverick leftist Amlo vows to revise oil contracts

Mexico's Lopez Obrador open to more private oil investment: adviser

‘Mexico First’ Campaign Could End Welcome for U.S. Oil Giants

Mexico looks to boost trade with China as NAFTA talks falter

China and Mexico: Developing Trade, Investment for the Future

China wants mexico’s oil, but at what price?

China congratulates Mexico’s Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador on presidential win

China boosts Mexico ties by grabbing blocks in oil auction

BHP Billiton Rothschild - links

CNOOC Limited website

PEMEX website

List of countries by oil imports

Mexico opens up oil industry for first time in 80 years

China’s Cnooc Looks for Gulf of Mexico Oil Partners

Russia's Lukoil wins block in Mexico shallow water oil auction

Mexico Gives Green Light to Russia’s Rosneft, Lukoil to Bid on Oil Contracts

Mexico and China Are Very Different Trading Partners

Leading Mexican Presidential Candidate Would Respect Nafta Deal

On NAFTA, Mexico's Lopez-Obrador Is Moving Into The Driver's Seat

Mexico Likely To Keep Making The World’s Biggest Oil Hedge

China's CNOOC says Stampede oil project in Gulf of Mexico starts output

A Perfect Storm Is Coming to Mexico

 A New Revolution in Mexico

Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Mexico’s homespun firebrand

Mexico’s business chiefs urge voters to shun Amlo

Mexico postpones oil tenders until after López Obrador takes office

Videos

John Ackerman discusses the Mexican election results

Bernie Sanders of Mexico? Leftist Wins Presidency in Landslide

China, Panama connected under Belt and Road Initiative

Papers

Mexico's Cross Border Trade Opportunities & Competitiveness

Books

Clash of Dynasties by Richard James DeSocio

Thy Will Be Done: The Conquest of the Amazon : Nelson Rockefeller and Evangelism in the Age of Oil by Gerard Colby, Charlotte Dennett, Charlott Dennett

Oil: Money, Politics, and Power in the 21st Century by Tom Bower

*For additional footnotes and links refer to the Newsbud article link above

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